Iowa poll shows Democrats in position to flip 2 GOP House seats

Democrats are in a position to flip two of four seats in the Iowa House, according to a new poll.

Four state House seats are currently held by Republicans.

Democrats hold the upper hand in the 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts, while Republicans are ahead among voters in the 2nd and 4th Districts, according to a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll.

In the 1st Congressional District, 53% of respondents said they would vote for the Democratic candidate, while 37% said they would vote or had already voted for the Republican.

Therefore, Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan has a 16-point lead over Rep. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks Mariannette Miller-Meeks in their 2022 competition.

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Miller-Meeks won over Bohannan by nearly 7 percentage points in 2022.

“This race was always going to be competitive,” Miller-Meeks campaign spokesman Tyler Menzler said in a statement. “In 2020, Mariannette Miller-Meeks won by 6 votes and in 2022, she won by 7 points.”

“As of yesterday, the last Selzer survey is very critical of the truth,” Menzler said. “And even the Democrats aren’t buying it. On Tuesday, Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win the only important election and re-election.”

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows 48% of voters in the third congressional district favor the Democratic nominee, while 41% said they voted or would vote Republican. Democratic challenger Lanon Baccam has a 7-point lead over Rep. Republican Zach Nunn.

“We are confident that Representatives Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win because they have delivered strong results for their communities,” National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) spokesman Mike Marinella told Fox News. Digital. “This poll is clear, as voters are well aware that political activist Lanon Baccam and ultra-liberal Christina Bohannan are no longer running in Iowa.”

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) had mixed opinions about the election.

“It’s clear that Iowans have been willing to change since the day Christina and Lanon launched their campaigns; that’s why they’ve broken fundraising records, upset their opponents every quarter one, and they’re leading in the polls,” a DCCC spokesperson told Fox News Digital. “The people of Iowa know that Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn are not with the people of Iowa, they are pushing the agenda to ban abortion and they are standing with their party leaders and special interest donors to -and help middle-class families to move forward.”

In the 2nd Congressional District, 45% of respondents vote Republican, while 42% vote Democrat. US Rep. Ashley Hinson has a three-point lead over Democrat Sarah Corkery.

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Rep. Republican incumbent Randy Feenstra has a 16-point lead over Democratic challenger Ryan Melton. The survey found that 53% of voters support the Republican in the 4th Congressional District, while 37% of the voters support the Democratic candidate.

The election represents the first time since September 2020 that Democrats have a national advantage in congressional elections. In the last election in September, Republicans were favored statewide, 52% to 44%. Since then, voters in Iowa have shifted to Democrats. A Democrat in the 1st congressional district held a 3-point lead in September, while a Republican had an advantage in three other races during that time.

The new selection was made from Oct. 28-31 and of a sample of 808 likely voters in Iowa. That included people who had already voted or who told voters they would vote.

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Its margin of error statewide was plus or minus 3.4 percent, and for congressional districts it was a whopping 7.2 percent or more.